Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick Round 1 of the NFL Playoffs
Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys ATS Pick
Spread: Cowboys -7 O/U 48
PICK AGAINST THE SPREAD: COWBOYS -7
Last Games: The Cowboys crushed the Washington Redskins 44-17 and the Lions lost to the Green Bay Packers 30-20.
While the Lions have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games against the Cowboys, including beating them last season, Dallas is the ESPN Pick for this game favored by 7 points. The Cowboys ended the season winning 4 straight games and are they the betting pick in this game after only going 4-4 at home this season? The answer to that is definitely yes. Dallas is a balanced offensive team that is the Fox Sports Pick for Lions vs. Cowboys NFC playoff match up.
Not only do the betting trends point to the Cowboys winning and covering, but there are a couple of glaring overall trends for CBS Sports Picks going with Dallas. First of all the Lions have not won a playoff game since the 1992 season and second Detroit QB is 0-17 in his last 7 road games facing a team that has a winning record.
Dallas covered the spread in 10 of their games on the season while the Lions only covered in 5.
The Cowboys covered the spread in every game of their season-ending 4-game winning streak.
The Lions were 7-1 at home this season, but only 4-4 on the road and none of those wins away from the Motor City ended the season with a winning record. Detroit is only 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
The Cowboys only gave up 17 points in their season finale win, but they did give up a lot of yards. However, in their last 9 games after giving up over 350 total yards they have covered the spread 8 times.
DeMarco Murray led the NFL in rushing yards this season and Dallas has the top-ranked run defense. The Lions have the leagues #1 run defense, but in the road loss to the Packers in their last game they gave up 152 rushing yards.
Dallas is only 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoffs games, but this is a different team, as QB Tony Romo, who had a great season, finally has a legit RB in Murray.
The Lions have only covered the spread in 2 of their last 8 games facing teams from the NFC.
You may think the ESPN Pick in this game would be to take the Under, but that may not be the case. The Lions have an Under record of 8-1 in their last 9 road games and the Cowboys have an Under record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. However, the Cowboys have scored at least 42 points in each of their last games, have an Over record of 5-2-1 in their last 8 games overall, and in the last 5 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over every time.
ATS and O/U Record
Detroit Lions: 7-9 ATS / O/U 5-11
Dallas Cowboys: 10-6 ATS / O/U 9-6-1
Key Betting Trends
The Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and in their last 9 road games the total has gone Under 8 times.
The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games, and in their last 8 games they have an Over record of 5-2-1.
Head-To-Head Betting Trends
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 games
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 games in Dallas
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games